Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.023281 0.025277 0.027364 0.029709 0.032273 0.034992 0.038097
2025-07-27 0.019972 0.022848 0.026026 0.029806 0.034185 0.039109 0.045076
2025-08-03 0.017641 0.020974 0.024813 0.029574 0.035337 0.042108 0.050698
2025-08-10 0.016203 0.019878 0.024256 0.029875 0.036927 0.045522 0.056849
2025-08-17 0.014748 0.018577 0.023269 0.029472 0.037499 0.047593 0.061340
2025-08-24 0.013505 0.017411 0.022318 0.028975 0.037826 0.049274 0.065330
2025-08-31 0.012554 0.016528 0.021636 0.028731 0.038404 0.051240 0.069738
2025-09-07 0.011741 0.015759 0.021033 0.028517 0.038960 0.053151 0.074127
2025-09-14 0.011056 0.015108 0.020529 0.028382 0.039579 0.055138 0.078691
2025-09-21 0.010381 0.014422 0.019927 0.028053 0.039875 0.056650 0.082620
2025-09-28 0.009907 0.013984 0.019636 0.028131 0.040734 0.058984 0.087860
2025-10-05 0.009398 0.013465 0.019194 0.027953 0.041186 0.060720 0.092271
2025-10-12 0.008954 0.013033 0.018880 0.027985 0.042014 0.063154 0.098070
2025-10-19 0.008579 0.012685 0.018672 0.028167 0.043087 0.066039 0.104805
2025-10-26 0.008133 0.012204 0.018235 0.027963 0.043536 0.067962 0.110099
2025-11-02 0.007849 0.011950 0.018122 0.028249 0.044762 0.071171 0.117709
2025-11-09 0.007427 0.011457 0.017613 0.027870 0.044879 0.072571 0.122333
2025-11-16 0.007017 0.010963 0.017071 0.027401 0.044810 0.073642 0.126434
2025-11-23 0.006691 0.010584 0.016691 0.027172 0.045118 0.075347 0.131740
2025-11-30 0.006395 0.010236 0.016343 0.026971 0.045452 0.077102 0.137231
2025-12-07 0.006134 0.009932 0.016050 0.026844 0.045900 0.079068 0.143220
2025-12-14 0.005854 0.009584 0.015664 0.026534 0.046003 0.080415 0.148126
2025-12-21 0.005664 0.009377 0.015505 0.026607 0.046786 0.083021 0.155584